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Statistics in Transition New Series

Polish Statistical Association

Central Statistical Office of Poland

Subject: Economics, Statistics & Probability


ISSN: 1234-7655
eISSN: 2450-0291





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VOLUME 16 , ISSUE 3 (September 2015) > List of articles


Andrzej K. Koźmiński * / Adam Noga * / Katarzyna Piotrowska * / Krzysztof Zagórski *

Keywords : socio-economic development, index, economic indicators, social indicators, balanced development, evaluations, predictions.

Citation Information : Statistics in Transition New Series. Volume 16, Issue 3, Pages 461-487, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/stattrans-2015-026

License : (CC BY 4.0)

Published Online: 01-November-2017



Stemming from assumption that Gross Domestic Product is an index oversimplifying economic development and not reflecting socio-economic development, the paper presents conceptualization, operationalization and estimation of Balanced Development Index (BDI), concerning both economic and social development in Poland. Actual values of this index as well as its four composite components (middle-level indexes) are presented for 1999-2013. A statistical model allowing estimation of BDI values as well as short-term forecasts is proposed alongside with the concept of balanced development. Application of this model for 1999-2016 is presented.

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