COHORT PATTERNS OF FERTILITY IN POLAND BASED ON STAGING PROCESS – GENERATIONS 1930-1980

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Statistics in Transition New Series

Polish Statistical Association

Central Statistical Office of Poland

Subject: Economics , Statistics & Probability

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VOLUME 19 , ISSUE 2 (June 2018) > List of articles

COHORT PATTERNS OF FERTILITY IN POLAND BASED ON STAGING PROCESS – GENERATIONS 1930-1980

Wioletta Grzenda / Ewa Frątczak

Keywords : cohort fertility, stochastic process, stage probabilities

Citation Information : Statistics in Transition New Series. Volume 19, Issue 2, Pages 315-330, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/stattrans-2018-018

License : (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)

Published Online: 23-July-2018

ARTICLE

ABSTRACT

As a transition country in the region of Central and Eastern Europe, Poland has experienced unprecedented changes in the fertility. Currently, the total fertility rate level is very low, ca. 1.3 children per woman, which is below the replacement level. Many studies have described changes in fertility based on the crosssectional approach. However, the changes of cohort fertility have been described not quite sufficiently. Our paper complements this gap by the assessment of stochastic fertility tables, calculated for five-year generations of women born in the period 1930-1980. The main goal of this study is to analyse changes in the cohort patterns of female fertility in Poland.

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