PROBABILISTIC MODEL FOR AIRPORT RUNWAY SAFETY AREAS

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Transport Problems

Silesian University of Technology

Subject: Economics , Transportation , Transportation Science & Technology

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ISSN: 1896-0596
eISSN: 2300-861X

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VOLUME 12 , ISSUE 2 (June 2017) > List of articles

PROBABILISTIC MODEL FOR AIRPORT RUNWAY SAFETY AREAS

Stanislav SZABO * / Peter VITTEK / Jakub KRAUS / Vladimír PLOS / Andrej LALIŠ / Marek ŠTUMPER / Iveta VAJDOVÁ

Keywords : take-off, landing, runway, safety area, probability, distance

Citation Information : Transport Problems. Volume 12, Issue 2, Pages 89-97, DOI: https://doi.org/10.20858/tp.2017.12.2.9

License : (CC BY 4.0)

Received Date : 11-October-2015 / Accepted: 25-May-2017 / Published Online: 24-October-2017

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ABSTRACT

The Laboratory of Aviation Safety and Security at CTU in Prague has recently started a project aimed at runway protection zones. The probability of exceeding by a certain distance from the runway in common incident/accident scenarios (take-off/landing overrun/veer-off, landing undershoot) is being identified relative to the runway for any airport. As a result, the size and position of safety areas around runways are defined for the chosen probability.
The basis for probability calculation is a probabilistic model using statistics from more than 1400 real-world cases where jet airplanes have been involved over the last few decades. Other scientific studies have contributed to understanding the issue and supported the model’s application to different conditions.

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