OBJECTIFICATION OF SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATION OF ABNORMAL CASES DANGER IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL

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Transport Problems

Silesian University of Technology

Subject: Economics , Transportation , Transportation Science & Technology

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VOLUME 13 , ISSUE 1 (March 2018) > List of articles

OBJECTIFICATION OF SUBJECTIVE ESTIMATION OF ABNORMAL CASES DANGER IN AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL

Olga ARINICHEVA * / Yakov DALINGER / Aleksei MALISHEVSKII / Nikolai SUKHIKH / Yurii KHOROSHAVTSEV

Keywords : air traffic control, abnormal case, danger estimation, objectification of subjective estimations, potential extreme working capacity

Citation Information : Transport Problems. Volume 13, Issue 1, Pages 5-18, DOI: https://doi.org/10.21307/tp.2018.13.1.1

License : (CC BY 4.0)

Received Date : 12-January-2017 / Accepted: 09-March-2018 / Published Online: 23-March-2018

ARTICLE

ABSTRACT

In the article, the problems of objectification of the subjective danger estimation for abnormal cases in air traffic control are considered. An overview of currently existing approaches is given. In addition, the article presents the analysis of the statistical results of testing 252 air traffic controllers. This study reveals a subjective danger estimation inadequacy and its connection to air traffic controller’s potential extreme working capacity. A new approach to objectification of the subjunctive danger estimation for abnormal cases in air traffic control is proposed. The method combines the conditional probability collision computation and the method of expert estimations.

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